HP, Xerox hold steady

IT investors had a mixed bag of news to digest this week, in the wake of Hewlett-Packard Co.’s boardroom spy scandal, and Xerox Corp.’s annual pilgrimage to New York to woo the Wall Street crowd.

It’s a measure of HP Chief Executive Officer Mark Hurd’s success so far that the company has not been harder hit by the boardroom spy scandal, in which outside investigators hired by the board used allegedly illegal means to spy on employees, board members and reporters. In order to smooth things over, Hurd will replace Dunn in January and retain his CEO title.

The spying was sparked by leaks to the press, which ironically included information on discussions that led to the firing of former CEO Carly Fiorina. It’s ironic because under Hurd, the company’s takeover of Compaq Computer Corp. — a controversial acquisition engineered by Fiorina — seems to be paying off. Hurd has reorganized the company to cut costs, and HP is gaining PC market share and growing almost as fast as its archrival in that market, Dell Inc. Since HP is much larger than Dell, that growth is remarkable. Much of it is the result of reorganized company logistics, supply-chain management, inventory control, as well as a continued push on the product front.

The spy scandal has not implicated Hurd, and that’s a good thing. Company shares did take a hit after Tuesday’s disclosure by the California state attorney general on The NewsHour with Jim Lehrer that he had enough evidence to charge HP officials. Still, shares (HPQ) closed Thursday at $36.25, about where they were right before the scandal broke last week. The share price is still up 3.12 percent for the month and 31.81 percent for the year.

As long as Hurd is not implicated in the scandal, the company seems poised to continue its run, even if Dunn or other board members are indicted. Of the seven major brokers changing their recommendations on the company this year, all but one have been to upgrade their recommendations — the one exception was before the scandal.

Meanwhile, HP’s archrival in printers, Xerox, is having a hard time gaining traction in the market. The company made its annual pitch to Wall Street last week in a series of product and services rollouts. The consensus among analysts appears to be that CEO Anne Mulcahy is making all the right moves: slimming down the company, integrating and expanding services, keeping up pressure on rivals in the small and medium-size business market, and keeping its lead on the high-end production market.

But share price was not affected by her pitch to Wall Street. Shares (XRX) closed Thursday right where they were on the last day of her pitch last Friday, at $14.90.

“The strategy is there, but Wall Street wants to see more growth,” noted IDC analyst Keith Kmetz. Various competitors including Asian manufacturers have “nibbled away” at the low end of the market, Kmetz said, but Xerox still has a command position in the production market and is strong in the market for office color printing and multifunction devices. Only HP can claim to rival Xerox in the full scope of products and services.

But growth is tepid. Xerox second quarter revenue rose to $3.98 billion from $3.92 billion last year. The message from company executives appears to that Xerox will be able to achieve growth rates experienced by HP as services grow nearer to 50 percent of company revenue. But as Mulcahy told IDG, “whether that will be in three, or five years, I can’t say.”