Worldwide PC market strong in Q2, analysts say

While some areas of the business software market hit a soft spot in the second quarter, worldwide PC shipments are still showing double-digit growth, market researchers IDC and Gartner Inc. said Thursday.

Driven by demand for replacement PCs from business users, a total of 42.8 million PCs were shipped worldwide in the second quarter, 13.3 percent more than in the year-earlier period, Gartner said in a statement. The growth was in line with expectations, Gartner said.

“Business demand is one of the key factors in 2004 to drive growth. The installed base (of PCs) is quite old. Businesses delayed replacements during the economic downturn and are now replacing those older machines,” said Charles Smulders, vice president of Gartner’s Computing Platforms Worldwide group.

IDC, meanwhile, calculated PC shipment growth at 15 percent over the same period, to 39.7 million units, beating its expectations. PC replacements, particularly of desktop systems, continued to be helped by aggressive prices, IDC said in a statement.

IDC and Gartner cover the market in largely the same way, although Gartner includes certain types of system that IDC excludes.

Dell Inc. retained its position as market leader both worldwide and in the U.S., according to both research companies. They also agreed that Hewlett-Packard Co. (HP) and IBM Corp. were the world’s second and third largest vendors, respectively, in terms of units shipped.

The smallest of the top five PC vendors, Acer Inc., again recorded the biggest growth. The company has been successful at selling low-cost portable computers in Europe and saw growth in desktop sales in both Europe and Asia, IDC said.

Gartner expects PC shipments for the full year to come in about 13 percent higher than in 2003. However, if the political and economic environments were to worsen, PC sales could also suffer, Smulders said.

“I think economic and political factors will have a large influence on the final outcome. Some of the economic news that we have seen over the past few months does concern me,” he said.

IDC’s full-year 2004 forecast calls for 13.5 percent growth. The better-than-expected results for the second quarter should offset a slight slowdown that may occur in the second half of the year, said Loren Loverde, director of IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker.

“There have been some comments by component players that maybe growth is going to slow and some wariness about the strength of commercial demand. Our view is that the recent results point to solid demand,” Loverde said. “At this stage we would not lower our full-year forecast; we don’t think the caution in the market is significant enough to lower it.”

IDC preliminary worldwide PC shipments, second quarter 2004 (thousands of units)

Vendor Q2 2004

Shipments Q2 2004

Market share Q2 2003

Shipments Q2 2003

Market share Growth (%)

Q2 2003 – 2004

Dell 7,264 18.3% 5,929 17.2 % 22.5 %

HP 6,229 15.7 % 5,399 15.7 % 15.4%

IBM 2,565 6.5 % 2,183 6.3 % 17.5 %

Fujitsu/Fujitsu Siemens 1,521 3.8 % 1,275 3.7 % 19.3%

Acer 1,269 3.2% 971 2.8% 30.7%

Others 20,885 52.6 % 18,650 54.2 % 12 %

Total 39,733 100% 34,408 100% 15.5 %

Gartner preliminary worldwide PC shipments, second quarter 2004 (thousands of units)

Vendor Q2 2004

Shipments Q2 2004

Market share Q2 2003

Shipments Q2 2003

Market share Growth (%)

Q2 2003 – 2004

Dell 7,080 16.5 % 5,781 15.3 % 22.5 %

HP 6,130 14.3 % 5,306 14 % 15.5 %

IBM 2,535 5.9 % 2,157 5.7 % 17.5 %

Fujitsu/Fujitsu Siemens 1,506 3.5 % 1,265 3.3 % 19 %

Acer 1,302 3 % 995 2.6 % 30.9 %

Others 24,249 56.7 % 22,270 59 % 8.9 %

Total 42,802 100 % 37,774 100 % 13.3 %